KES2011 invited session on Innovations in Chance Discovery
12, 13, and 14 September 2011
Kaiserslautern, Germany
Chance Discovery is the discovery of chance, rather than discovery by chance. A ``chance" here means a new event/situation that can be conceived either as an opportunity or as a risk in the future. The ``discovery" of chances is of crucial importance since it may have a significant impact on human decision making. Desirable effects of opportunities should be actively promoted, whereas preventive measures should be taken in the case of discovered risks. In other words, chance discovery aims to provide means for inventing or surviving the future, rather than simply predicting the future.
This session will discuss several problems in Chance Discovery. As
shown, Chance Discovery is a research to study how to discover
rare or novel events causing potentially significant situation. Although
the event itself could not be significant. A chance might be
computationally or manually discovered.
Thus, advanced computational techniques such as abduction and
induction (including data mining) could be applied to Chance Discovery.
In addition, personalised and very traditional (sometimes, manual)
data mining method could also be effective in Chance Discovery.
We have discussed limitations of conventional data mining methods.
And many new computational methods, and concepts and mechanisms of
human discovery have been proposed.
In the contexts, we have discussed how to discover and suggest events
causing significant but hidden events.
Our common understandings are that
we deal with events in the real world, therefore, we
need to have knowledge about movement in society, behaviour of people,
as well as computational methods.
In addition, it is important to discuss effective chance evaluation,
selection, and suggestion methods. It would be a gate for fantastic
and innovative applications.
Thus, we would like to discuss from logical, computational, cognitive,
sociological, economical and psychological viewpoints. In addition, we would
like to discuss ``curation'' of chance. Traditionally, curation is not only
concerned with long-term care of books, paintings or other artefacts. It is
also about maintaining their integrity and enabling and promoting
their availability to appropriate audiences
(http://www.jisc.ac.uk/e-sciencecurationreport.pdf).
As shown above, for chance discovery, we have focused on strategies to
discover rare or novel events and those to present hints of chance to users.
By curation, we add a more active action to chance discovery, which
curators usually struggle to explicitly or implicitly express extended
or hidden meanings (values) to potential audiences.
It should be related to ``value sensing'' in chance discovery.
Of course, other viewpoints are also welcome!
Topics to be discussed (will not be restricted to):
Your papers can be submitted to (both):
Akinori Abe