[Abstract]

Paired Evaluators Method to Track Concept Drift: An Application for Hedge Funds Operations

Masabumi Furuhata1, Takanobu Mizuta2, and Jihei So2
1) Japan Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Japan
2) Sparx Asset Management Co., Ltd., Japan



In order to deal with sudden unexpected changes of circumstances, we propose a new forecast method based on paired evaluators, the stable evaluator and the reactive evaluator. These two evaluators are good at detecting consecutive concept drifts. We conduct a back-testing using financial data in order to demonstrate the performance of our proposing forecast method. The results of the back-testing show that our method is effective and robust even against the late-2000s recessions.